Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Over |
| Money | M-OH -440 OHIO +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +16 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -13.6 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -11.7 (+4.3) | 161.0 (+3.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -12.8 (+3.2) | 159.0 (+5.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -12.9 (+3.1) | 160.4 (+3.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -14.9 (+1.1) | 161.8 (+2.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | M-OH 110 – 108 OHIO |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OHIO 75 – 66 M-OH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | M-OH 73 – 69 OHIO |
| Mar 9, 2024 | OHIO 72 – 59 M-OH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | OHIO 78 – 69 M-OH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-2 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 18-0 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 10-6 |
| Away | 14-0 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.3 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 80.0 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#80) | -3.0 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.95 (#7) | -0.18 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.88 (#9) | -0.29 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.597 (#37) | 0.501 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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