Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -1000 AF +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +38 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -15.9 (+22.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -14.4 (+23.6) | 134.6 (+15.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -12.8 (+25.2) | 137.4 (+12.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -13.5 (+24.5) | 137.6 (+12.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -14.0 (+24.0) | 137.1 (+12.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BOIS 96 – 54 AF |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BOIS 80 – 57 AF |
| Dec 21, 2024 | BOIS 77 – 59 AF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 48 AF |
| Feb 1, 2023 | BOIS 59 – 52 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 2-16 |
| Home | 13-3 | 4-12 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.6 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 9.9 (#51) | -2.5 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#37) | -0.80 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#42) | -0.74 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.610 (#23) | 0.453 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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