Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | AF +500 BOIS -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +31 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -12.2 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -14.5 (-16.5) | 136.2 (-9.2) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -12.5 (-18.5) | 135.3 (-8.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -12.4 (-18.6) | 136.7 (-9.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -11.9 (-19.1) | 137.3 (-10.3) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BOIS 96 – 54 AF |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BOIS 80 – 57 AF |
| Dec 21, 2024 | BOIS 77 – 59 AF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BOIS 94 – 56 AF |
| Feb 1, 2023 | BOIS 59 – 52 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-12 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-5 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#241) | 11.5 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#271) | 2.05 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#264) | 2.27 (#46) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#283) | 0.598 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 28.9 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.1% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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