Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | AF +800 BOIS -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +23 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | BOIS -16.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.8 (+3.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -15.4 (-7.6) | 133.4 (+3.6) | 12% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BOIS -15.5 (-7.5) | 132.4 (+4.6) | 12% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BOIS -15.1 (-7.9) | 133.5 (+3.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -14.9 (-8.1) | 135.0 (+2.0) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BOIS 96 – 54 AF |
| Dec 21, 2024 | BOIS 77 – 59 AF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 48 AF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BOIS 94 – 56 AF |
| Feb 1, 2023 | BOIS 59 – 52 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AF | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 26-11 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-13 | 13-3 |
| Away | 0-14 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 67.0 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#292) | 12.0 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.20 (#337) | 2.01 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#330) | 2.57 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#331) | 0.582 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AF | BOIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 23.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 49.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 77.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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