Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -23.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -9000 AF +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +42 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -25.0 (+17.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -20.5 (+21.5) | 138.1 (+11.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | BOIS -20.6 (+21.4) | 137.5 (+12.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | BOIS -19.4 (+22.6) | 136.2 (+13.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -21.5 (+20.5) | 136.5 (+13.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2025 | BOIS 80 – 57 AF |
| Dec 21, 2024 | BOIS 77 – 59 AF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 48 AF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BOIS 94 – 56 AF |
| Feb 1, 2023 | BOIS 59 – 52 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 0-20 |
| Home | 12-4 | 3-15 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L25 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 79.9 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#70) | -12.7 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.51 (#68) | -1.99 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.80 (#75) | -2.34 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#38) | 0.429 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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