Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -21.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -10000 AF +2500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +18 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -20.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -19.9 (-1.9) | 132.4 (+3.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -15.8 (+2.2) | 134.3 (+1.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -17.5 (+0.5) | 134.2 (+1.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -18.6 (-0.6) | 133.6 (+2.4) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | BOIS 96 – 54 AF |
| Mar 5, 2025 | BOIS 80 – 57 AF |
| Feb 28, 2024 | BOIS 79 – 48 AF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BOIS 94 – 56 AF |
| Feb 1, 2023 | BOIS 59 – 52 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 1-19 |
| Home | 13-3 | 3-13 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 61.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.0 | 73.7 |
| Massey | 10.1 (#56) | -5.9 (#275) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#78) | -2.05 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.99 (#73) | -2.39 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#82) | 0.371 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 30.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 6.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 33.8% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 76.6% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.