Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | WMU -125 BALL +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +10 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -1.7 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.0 (-3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BALL -0.1 (-9.9) | 144.6 (-0.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BALL -0.4 (-9.6) | 141.9 (+2.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -0.7 (-10.7) | 144.7 (-0.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BALL -0.1 (-9.9) | 145.3 (-1.3) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BALL 74 – 71 WMU |
| Jan 29, 2025 | WMU 74 – 71 BALL |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WMU 78 – 76 BALL |
| Feb 18, 2023 | WMU 78 – 68 BALL |
| Jan 18, 2023 | BALL 71 – 70 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.5 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#285) | -4.7 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#281) | -0.93 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.50 (#289) | -1.20 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#283) | 0.444 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 52.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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