Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | WMU -122 BALL +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BALL +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | WMU -5.1 (-8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WMU -3.2 (-6.2) | 136.1 (+8.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WMU -4.4 (-7.4) | 133.5 (+11.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WMU -4.3 (-7.3) | 135.2 (+9.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WMU -4.3 (-7.3) | 137.7 (+7.3) | 64% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2025 | WMU 74 – 71 BALL |
| Mar 2, 2024 | WMU 78 – 76 BALL |
| Feb 3, 2024 | BALL 77 – 67 WMU |
| Feb 18, 2023 | WMU 78 – 68 BALL |
| Jan 18, 2023 | BALL 71 – 70 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -6.4 (#271) | -8.5 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#249) | -1.52 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#247) | -2.11 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#262) | 0.421 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.9% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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