Betting Lines
| Spread | OU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UCF -111 OU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCF +11 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | OU -1.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OU -0.4 (+11.4) | 134.2 (+2.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OU -0.7 (+11.7) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OU -0.4 (+11.4) | 134.6 (+2.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCF -0.1 (+10.9) | 136.9 (+0.1) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | OU 65 – 62 UCF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCF | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-8 | 14-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.9 | 68.8 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#67) | 13.6 (#23) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#92) | 2.25 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#91) | 2.88 (#23) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#97) | 0.587 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCF | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.6% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.