Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | UIC +130 SIU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +3 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -2.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -5.1 (+2.1) | 133.2 (+11.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -1.5 (-1.5) | 134.4 (+10.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -2.4 (-0.6) | 135.1 (+9.9) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -2.4 (-0.6) | 134.5 (+10.5) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UIC 68 – 66 SIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UIC 70 – 57 SIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SIU 79 – 67 UIC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIU 89 – 85 UIC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UIC 84 – 82 SIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 11-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 13-5 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 68.6 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#189) | 4.7 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#268) | 0.33 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#230) | 0.88 (#116) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#248) | 0.505 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 15.0% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 73.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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