Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UIC +102 SIU -122 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SIU -3.4 (+16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -1.7 (+14.7) | 147.2 (-20.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -3.1 (+16.1) | 143.5 (-16.5) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -3.8 (+16.8) | 143.9 (-16.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -3.3 (+16.3) | 146.1 (-19.1) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UIC 68 – 66 SIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SIU 79 – 67 UIC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIU 89 – 85 UIC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UIC 84 – 82 SIU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SIU 74 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 70.5 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#208) | 4.5 (#112) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#297) | 0.32 (#151) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#272) | 0.17 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.429 (#290) | 0.538 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 32.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 61.5% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.1% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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