Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | SIU -250 UIC +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +2 | 166 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -5.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (+29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -4.7 (-6.7) | 138.4 (+27.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -5.7 (-7.7) | 136.9 (+29.1) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -4.8 (-6.8) | 138.0 (+28.0) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -4.6 (-6.6) | 139.7 (+26.3) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UIC 68 – 66 SIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UIC 70 – 57 SIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SIU 79 – 67 UIC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIU 89 – 85 UIC |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SIU 74 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#113) | -1.1 (#178) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#119) | -0.63 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.98 (#112) | -0.38 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#145) | 0.466 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 27.5% |
Game Analysis
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