Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | SIU -105 UIC -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -0.9 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -0.3 (+12.3) | 154.2 (-8.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -0.5 (+11.5) | 152.3 (-6.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -0.4 (+11.6) | 152.4 (-6.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.3 (+12.3) | 153.7 (-7.7) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UIC 68 – 66 SIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UIC 70 – 57 SIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIU 89 – 85 UIC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UIC 84 – 82 SIU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SIU 74 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 74.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#187) | 2.4 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#184) | 0.61 (#121) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#182) | 0.76 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#153) | 0.536 (#108) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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