Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -300 SIU +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SIU +4 | 174 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -8.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -7.2 (-11.2) | 150.6 (+23.4) | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -6.4 (-10.4) | 151.1 (+22.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -7.0 (-11.0) | 149.1 (+24.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -7.3 (-11.3) | 150.8 (+23.2) | 79% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | UIC 68 – 66 SIU |
| Jan 8, 2026 | UIC 70 – 57 SIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SIU 79 – 67 UIC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UIC 84 – 82 SIU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SIU 74 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-6 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#127) | -3.0 (#215) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.06 (#92) | -0.78 (#240) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#97) | -0.70 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#62) | 0.481 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | SIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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