Betting Lines
| Spread | SIU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | SIU -170 UIC +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +2 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | SIU -4.2 (-6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIU -2.4 (-4.4) | 139.6 (-5.6) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIU -1.4 (-3.4) | 141.4 (-7.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIU -2.2 (-4.2) | 137.0 (-3.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIU -2.7 (-4.7) | 138.5 (-4.5) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | UIC 70 – 57 SIU |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SIU 79 – 67 UIC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SIU 89 – 85 UIC |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UIC 84 – 82 SIU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SIU 74 – 71 UIC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 3.2 (#120) | 2.0 (#138) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#192) | -0.09 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#190) | 0.08 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#158) | 0.504 (#167) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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