Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -175 FLA +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -1.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.3 (-26.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -1.9 (-0.9) | 154.4 (-21.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -2.1 (-1.1) | 151.4 (-18.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -1.3 (-0.3) | 152.7 (-19.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -1.0 (+0.0) | 154.8 (-21.8) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | FLA 86 – 67 TA&M |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FLA 89 – 70 TA&M |
| Mar 16, 2024 | FLA 95 – 90 TA&M |
| Jan 19, 2023 | TA&M 54 – 52 FLA |
| Jan 5, 2023 | TA&M 66 – 63 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 14-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 7-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 85.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 79.2 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#50) | 12.0 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#63) | 2.19 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#60) | 2.78 (#29) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#74) | 0.606 (#30) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 43.8 | 44.9 |
| OREB / G | 18.6 | 16.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 43.8% | 40.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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