Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -150 TA&M +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +5 | 185 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -2.0 (+3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (+29.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -0.0 (+5.0) | 155.4 (+29.6) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -0.8 (+4.2) | 154.5 (+30.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -0.7 (+4.3) | 153.6 (+31.4) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -0.7 (+4.3) | 153.7 (+31.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | FLA 86 – 67 TA&M |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FLA 89 – 70 TA&M |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TA&M 67 – 66 FLA |
| Jan 19, 2023 | TA&M 54 – 52 FLA |
| Jan 5, 2023 | TA&M 66 – 63 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 7-4 | 5-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 85.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#31) | 10.7 (#49) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.11 (#31) | 1.90 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.86 (#22) | 2.57 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#23) | 0.566 (#59) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 43.2 | 42.7 |
| OREB / G | 15.2 | 17.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 38.5% | 42.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.