Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | FLA -275 TA&M +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +3 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | FLA -9.6 (-12.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -7.1 (-10.1) | 144.1 (-15.1) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -6.4 (-9.4) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -7.9 (-10.9) | 143.3 (-14.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -7.4 (-10.4) | 143.6 (-14.6) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | FLA 86 – 67 TA&M |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FLA 89 – 70 TA&M |
| Mar 16, 2024 | FLA 95 – 90 TA&M |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TA&M 67 – 66 FLA |
| Jan 19, 2023 | TA&M 54 – 52 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 10-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 7-4 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 66.5 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#45) | 4.7 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#96) | 0.30 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#85) | 0.51 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#106) | 0.512 (#152) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 35.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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