Betting Lines
| Spread | FLA -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | FLA -380 TA&M +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FLA +19 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | FLA -10.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FLA -10.6 (+8.4) | 145.3 (+13.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FLA -10.7 (+8.3) | 144.2 (+14.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FLA -10.2 (+8.8) | 144.1 (+14.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FLA -11.9 (+7.1) | 144.4 (+14.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | FLA 86 – 67 TA&M |
| Mar 16, 2024 | FLA 95 – 90 TA&M |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TA&M 67 – 66 FLA |
| Jan 19, 2023 | TA&M 54 – 52 FLA |
| Jan 5, 2023 | TA&M 66 – 63 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FLA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36-4 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 14-0 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | W12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.8 | 74.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 68.7 |
| Massey | 23.0 (#4) | 16.3 (#22) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.14 (#3) | 3.15 (#12) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.42 (#2) | 3.81 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.642 (#7) | 0.618 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FLA | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 15.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 41.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
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