Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -175 FLA +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +2 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -2.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-36.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -3.9 (-1.9) | 139.1 (-33.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -3.0 (-1.0) | 141.2 (-35.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -2.9 (-0.9) | 141.2 (-35.2) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -2.8 (-0.8) | 141.0 (-35.0) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | FLA 86 – 67 TA&M |
| Mar 2, 2025 | FLA 89 – 70 TA&M |
| Mar 16, 2024 | FLA 95 – 90 TA&M |
| Feb 3, 2024 | TA&M 67 – 66 FLA |
| Jan 5, 2023 | TA&M 66 – 63 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 15-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 68.6 |
| Massey | 9.0 (#56) | 10.4 (#37) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#73) | 1.34 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#79) | 1.89 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#83) | 0.568 (#67) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 37.3% | 24.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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