Betting Lines
| Spread | UND -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | UND -163 NDSU +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +2 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | UND -3.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (-35.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UND -3.0 (-1.0) | 145.6 (-27.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UND -3.9 (-1.9) | 148.0 (-30.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UND -3.7 (-1.7) | 149.8 (-31.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UND -3.7 (-1.7) | 151.2 (-33.2) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NDSU 70 – 62 UND |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NDSU 83 – 66 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NDSU 87 – 82 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 8-8 |
| Home | 9-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#269) | -4.8 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#224) | -0.63 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#229) | -1.10 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#251) | 0.469 (#233) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 13.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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