Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -650 UND +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +5 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -16.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -13.7 (-8.7) | 158.7 (+10.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -11.3 (-6.3) | 159.0 (+10.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -14.0 (-9.0) | 161.1 (+7.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -14.9 (-9.9) | 160.4 (+8.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NDSU 70 – 62 UND |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NDSU 83 – 66 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NDSU 73 – 68 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-6 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 82.2 |
| Massey | 5.9 (#91) | -7.5 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#126) | -1.50 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#131) | -1.95 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#152) | 0.408 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 41.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.5% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 10.4% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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