Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | NDSU -750 UND +525 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -11.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-18.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -10.8 (-2.8) | 145.3 (-13.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -10.7 (-2.7) | 145.2 (-13.2) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -10.1 (-2.1) | 144.5 (-12.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -10.7 (-2.7) | 145.7 (-13.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 14, 2026 | NDSU 83 – 66 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NDSU 87 – 82 UND |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NDSU 73 – 68 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 10-6 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 10-5 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.7 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 79.6 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#110) | -7.6 (#286) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#108) | -0.68 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#118) | -1.24 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#88) | 0.490 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 56.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 31.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.