Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | UND +200 NDSU -245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UND win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +17 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | NDSU -7.3 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -6.6 (-10.4) | 151.2 (-2.2) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -6.3 (-10.7) | 147.9 (+1.1) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -5.9 (-11.1) | 149.4 (-0.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -5.8 (-11.2) | 150.5 (-1.5) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | NDSU 70 – 62 UND |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NDSU 96 – 63 UND |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UND 79 – 77 NDSU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NDSU 87 – 82 UND |
| Feb 24, 2024 | NDSU 73 – 68 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 14-2 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-8 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 78.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#287) | 2.5 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#235) | 0.56 (#109) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#258) | 0.63 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#224) | 0.531 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UND | NDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.3% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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