And then my good friend Shaggy says "Come spend some time, family" "44/876" -- Shaggy & Sting
Atlantic Sun Conference · VyStar Arena · February 3, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENN -0.5 Away covered
O/U 166.5 Under
Money KENN +100 / EKU +100
Model Predictions
Spread Total KENN win
Actual EKU +10 162 Lost
Massey KENN -2.9 (-12.9)
Massey Totals 167.4 (-5.4)
Bradley-Terry 67%
Weighted B-T 73%
Efficiency Plus ML KENN -2.2 (-12.2) 159.5 (+2.5) 57%
Baseline Tuned ML KENN -1.5 (-11.5) 157.9 (+4.1) 61%
Baseline ML KENN -1.4 (-11.4) 159.2 (+2.8) 64%
Baseline Plus ML KENN -2.0 (-12.0) 161.1 (+0.9) 61%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 5, 2023 EKU 7774 KENN
Jan 2, 2023 KENN 7975 EKU
Mar 2, 2022 KENN 8273 EKU
Feb 3, 2022 EKU 8281 KENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings KENN EKU
Overall 15-16 17-14
Conference 6-10 12-4
Home 9-5 13-4
Away 4-11 4-10
Neutral 2-0 0-0
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L3 L3
Avg Pts For 81.5 76.5
Avg Pts Against 83.7 77.4
Massey -4.4 (#250) -3.7 (#235)
Bradley-Terry -0.46 (#219) -0.55 (#234)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.53 (#221) -0.80 (#242)
RPI 0.454 (#259) 0.473 (#223)
Shooting & Four Factors KENN EKU
FG% 44.7% 42.6%
3PT% 32.8% 33.9%
REB / G 36.4 39.4
OREB / G 11.5 12.4
AST / TO 1.17 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.9% 48.5%
TOV% 15.7% 16.2%
ORB% 29.1% 31.7%
FT Rate 25.3% 21.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.2% 50.7%
Opp TOV% 18.5% 14.9%
DRB% 68.1% 70.6%
Opp FT Rate 30.9% 20.9%

Game Analysis

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