Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | EKU -120 KENN +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +3 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -0.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -0.8 (+2.2) | 145.2 (+5.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -0.4 (+2.6) | 147.0 (+4.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -0.2 (+2.8) | 148.9 (+2.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -0.0 (+3.0) | 148.2 (+2.8) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | EKU 86 – 76 KENN |
| Jan 2, 2023 | KENN 79 – 75 EKU |
| Mar 2, 2022 | KENN 82 – 73 EKU |
| Feb 3, 2022 | EKU 82 – 81 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-14 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 15-3 |
| Home | 14-2 | 15-1 |
| Away | 5-10 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 70.9 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#194) | 1.8 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#136) | 1.35 (#68) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#151) | 1.14 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#98) | 0.574 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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