Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -125 FOR +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +2 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -0.6 (-2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.1 (-22.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -0.5 (-2.5) | 147.0 (-15.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -0.6 (-2.6) | 145.9 (-13.9) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -0.8 (-2.8) | 145.4 (-13.4) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -0.2 (-1.8) | 145.0 (-13.0) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SLU 78 – 56 FOR |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SLU 88 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 1, 2023 | FOR 75 – 65 SLU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SLU 63 – 45 FOR |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SLU 68 – 40 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-8 | 6-11 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#248) | -1.2 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#183) | -0.48 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#210) | -0.60 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#170) | 0.481 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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