Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +18 | 108 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -11.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.8 (-32.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -9.5 (+8.5) | 142.6 (-34.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -13.0 (+5.0) | 142.8 (-34.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -9.5 (+8.5) | 141.0 (-33.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -9.7 (+8.3) | 139.8 (-31.8) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SLU 78 – 56 FOR |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SLU 88 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | FOR 67 – 65 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | FOR 75 – 65 SLU |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SLU 68 – 40 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 8.2 (#59) | 0.6 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.40 (#72) | 0.35 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.67 (#80) | 0.54 (#138) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#77) | 0.506 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.6% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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