Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SLU -2100 FOR +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +22 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -22.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -17.0 (+5.0) | 143.8 (-9.8) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -17.5 (+4.5) | 143.1 (-9.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -18.7 (+3.3) | 142.5 (-8.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -18.3 (+3.7) | 142.0 (-8.0) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 31, 2024 | SLU 88 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | FOR 67 – 65 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | FOR 75 – 65 SLU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SLU 63 – 45 FOR |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SLU 68 – 40 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 19-0 | 11-7 |
| Away | 7-3 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 66.3 |
| Massey | 17.4 (#23) | -1.8 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#26) | -0.96 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.51 (#15) | -0.95 (#235) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#36) | 0.458 (#249) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.6% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 42.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 16.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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