Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | FOR +1800 SLU -3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +28 | 108 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -19.4 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (-18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 9% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -15.9 (-12.1) | 132.1 (-24.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -14.4 (-13.6) | 127.2 (-19.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -14.7 (-13.3) | 130.3 (-22.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -16.1 (-11.9) | 130.7 (-22.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SLU 78 – 56 FOR |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SLU 88 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | FOR 67 – 65 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | FOR 75 – 65 SLU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SLU 63 – 45 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2-12 | 14-7 |
| Conference | 2-11 | 6-4 |
| Home | 2-5 | 12-1 |
| Away | 0-6 | 1-4 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 51.8 | 75.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#313) | 11.8 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#265) | 1.52 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#282) | 2.13 (#64) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#306) | 0.541 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.2% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 37.3% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 20.4% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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