Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | FOR +100 SLU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +25 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | FOR -4.8 (-29.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -2.1 (-27.1) | 152.0 (-1.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -2.9 (-27.9) | 151.3 (-0.3) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -3.0 (-28.0) | 151.0 (+0.0) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -2.7 (-27.7) | 152.8 (-1.8) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SLU 78 – 56 FOR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | FOR 67 – 65 SLU |
| Feb 1, 2023 | FOR 75 – 65 SLU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SLU 63 – 45 FOR |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SLU 68 – 40 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#199) | -2.5 (#204) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.16 (#156) | -0.31 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.07 (#162) | -0.17 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#177) | 0.472 (#224) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.29 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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