Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | FOR +145 SLU -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -0.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -0.1 (+10.1) | 147.1 (-7.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -0.8 (+10.8) | 145.2 (-5.2) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -0.1 (+10.1) | 145.5 (-5.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -0.1 (+10.1) | 147.4 (-7.4) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SLU 78 – 56 FOR |
| Dec 31, 2024 | SLU 88 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | FOR 67 – 65 SLU |
| Jan 15, 2022 | SLU 63 – 45 FOR |
| Feb 13, 2021 | SLU 68 – 40 FOR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 18-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#149) | 5.4 (#92) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#86) | 1.44 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#104) | 1.66 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#98) | 0.590 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 46.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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