Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -213 TEX +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +11 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | TCU -6.2 (-17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -5.5 (-16.5) | 151.4 (-8.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -6.3 (-17.3) | 149.4 (-6.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -5.4 (-16.4) | 152.8 (-9.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -5.6 (-16.6) | 153.9 (-10.9) | 74% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 66 – 60 TCU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TCU 75 – 73 TEX |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TEX 79 – 75 TCU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TCU 65 – 60 TEX |
| Feb 24, 2022 | TEX 75 – 66 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 75.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 68.9 |
| Massey | 14.2 (#21) | 11.5 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.29 (#27) | 1.68 (#56) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.74 (#32) | 2.07 (#61) |
| RPI | 0.581 (#53) | 0.569 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.7% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 37.4% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 36.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.0% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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