Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +5 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -4.6 (-9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -3.2 (-8.2) | 128.6 (-3.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -3.7 (-8.7) | 126.5 (-1.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -2.6 (-7.6) | 127.4 (-2.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -3.1 (-8.1) | 129.4 (-4.4) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | TEX 77 – 66 TCU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 66 – 60 TCU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TCU 75 – 73 TEX |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TEX 79 – 75 TCU |
| Feb 24, 2022 | TEX 75 – 66 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#18) | 10.3 (#47) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#23) | 2.17 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#18) | 2.69 (#36) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#60) | 0.544 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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