Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -9.0 Push |
| O/U | 126.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -8.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -6.7 (+2.3) | 130.6 (+10.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -7.7 (+1.3) | 127.1 (+13.9) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -7.3 (+1.7) | 128.7 (+12.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -7.4 (+1.6) | 132.4 (+8.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | TEX 77 – 66 TCU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 66 – 60 TCU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TCU 75 – 73 TEX |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TEX 79 – 75 TCU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TCU 65 – 60 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 15.2 (#18) | 9.5 (#54) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#22) | 2.07 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.28 (#17) | 2.57 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.573 (#58) | 0.550 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 39.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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