Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -175 TEX +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +2 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -0.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -1.1 (+0.9) | 149.6 (-1.6) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -1.6 (+0.4) | 147.7 (+0.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -1.1 (+0.9) | 150.5 (-2.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -1.1 (+0.9) | 150.4 (-2.4) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | TEX 77 – 66 TCU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 66 – 60 TCU |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TEX 79 – 75 TCU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TCU 65 – 60 TEX |
| Feb 24, 2022 | TEX 75 – 66 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 29-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 17-1 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#17) | 16.9 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.21 (#26) | 2.87 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.98 (#17) | 3.40 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#94) | 0.608 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.2% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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