Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | TEX -130 TCU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -4.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -3.3 (+2.7) | 142.2 (-16.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -3.7 (+2.3) | 142.3 (-16.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.1 (+2.9) | 144.0 (-18.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -3.6 (+2.4) | 141.6 (-15.6) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | TEX 77 – 66 TCU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TCU 75 – 73 TEX |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TEX 79 – 75 TCU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TCU 65 – 60 TEX |
| Feb 24, 2022 | TEX 75 – 66 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#7) | 13.4 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.92 (#7) | 2.29 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.57 (#8) | 3.02 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#18) | 0.539 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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