Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -8.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (+9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -6.5 (-2.5) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -6.9 (-2.9) | 150.7 (+3.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -6.9 (-2.9) | 150.9 (+3.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -6.8 (-2.8) | 151.1 (+2.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | TEX 77 – 66 TCU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 66 – 60 TCU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TCU 75 – 73 TEX |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TCU 65 – 60 TEX |
| Feb 24, 2022 | TEX 75 – 66 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 15.9 (#9) | 11.1 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.84 (#13) | 2.55 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.50 (#12) | 3.71 (#9) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#30) | 0.555 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 35.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 45.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.2% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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