Betting Lines
| Spread | UCD -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | CP +400 UCD -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCD +7 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | UCD -7.9 (+0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (-22.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCD -8.4 (+1.4) | 131.6 (-20.6) | 22% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCD -7.4 (+0.4) | 129.5 (-18.5) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCD -7.9 (+0.9) | 130.7 (-19.7) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCD -7.9 (+0.9) | 131.0 (-20.0) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | UCD 67 – 58 CP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | CP 84 – 78 UCD |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CP 86 – 76 UCD |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UCD 65 – 54 CP |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCD 77 – 66 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 0-20 | 14-6 |
| Home | 3-11 | 10-6 |
| Away | 0-16 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L20 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#329) | 0.4 (#156) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#329) | 0.21 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#331) | 0.07 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#342) | 0.489 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 25.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.1% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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