Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -700 CCU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +17 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -10.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -8.5 (+8.5) | 148.8 (+16.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -11.6 (+5.4) | 153.9 (+11.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -9.5 (+7.5) | 151.8 (+13.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -8.6 (+8.4) | 149.2 (+15.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2026 | CCU 85 – 83 MRSH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRSH 67 – 62 CCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 64 CCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CCU 74 – 67 MRSH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-7 | 7-11 |
| Away | 3-9 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 79.4 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#229) | -10.2 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#216) | -1.99 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#218) | -2.38 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#204) | 0.390 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 30.3% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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