Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +140 MRSH -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +13 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -1.7 (-11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -2.6 (-10.4) | 138.1 (+2.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -4.4 (-8.6) | 137.4 (+3.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -2.8 (-10.2) | 137.5 (+3.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -2.2 (-10.8) | 138.8 (+2.2) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2026 | CCU 85 – 83 MRSH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRSH 67 – 62 CCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CCU 74 – 67 MRSH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRSH 91 – 74 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 12-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -7.3 (#286) | -1.9 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#321) | -0.45 (#212) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.33 (#317) | -0.59 (#210) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#341) | 0.471 (#221) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.0% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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