Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | MRSH -455 CCU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +2 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | MRSH -10.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+18.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -9.5 (-11.5) | 146.7 (+21.3) | 80% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | MRSH -9.6 (-11.6) | 145.1 (+22.9) | 83% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | MRSH -7.9 (-9.9) | 142.9 (+25.1) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -8.3 (-10.3) | 144.5 (+23.5) | 81% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 MRSH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRSH 67 – 62 CCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 64 CCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CCU 74 – 67 MRSH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRSH 91 – 74 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 13-4 | 8-5 |
| Away | 6-8 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#164) | -6.6 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#110) | -0.74 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#132) | -1.16 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#77) | 0.455 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 39.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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