Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | CCU +124 MRSH -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -1.9 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.7 (+1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -0.3 (+4.3) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -1.9 (+5.9) | 153.4 (+0.6) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -0.0 (+4.0) | 152.2 (+1.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -0.2 (+4.2) | 150.2 (+3.8) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | CCU 85 – 83 MRSH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRSH 67 – 62 CCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 64 CCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CCU 74 – 67 MRSH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRSH 91 – 74 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-4 |
| Away | 10-7 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 78.9 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#244) | -0.1 (#165) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#183) | 0.53 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#206) | 0.24 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#166) | 0.556 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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