Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | CCU +188 MRSH -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCU +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -3.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -2.4 (+9.4) | 151.1 (-10.1) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -4.2 (+11.2) | 152.8 (-11.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -3.2 (+10.2) | 154.7 (-13.7) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -2.5 (+9.5) | 152.0 (-11.0) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2026 | CCU 85 – 83 MRSH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | MRSH 67 – 62 CCU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 64 CCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRSH 91 – 74 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 7-11 |
| Home | 7-11 | 8-7 |
| Away | 1-9 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 72.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 76.9 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#323) | -3.5 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#331) | -0.50 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.30 (#326) | -0.56 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#336) | 0.482 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCU | MRSH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 39.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.5% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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