Betting Lines
| Spread | MRSH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MRSH -1000 CCU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRSH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRSH +5 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | MRSH -11.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRSH -9.9 (-4.9) | 140.4 (-11.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRSH -9.5 (-4.5) | 140.5 (-11.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRSH -9.8 (-4.8) | 141.5 (-12.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRSH -9.5 (-4.5) | 141.7 (-12.7) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CCU 79 – 75 MRSH |
| Jan 15, 2026 | CCU 85 – 83 MRSH |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MRSH 77 – 64 CCU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | CCU 74 – 67 MRSH |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MRSH 91 – 74 CCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRSH | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-8 |
| Away | 5-9 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#188) | -9.8 (#318) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#200) | -1.99 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#203) | -2.48 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#189) | 0.393 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRSH | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 10.7% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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