Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | URI +188 DUQ -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +14 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | DUQ -3.3 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -2.9 (-11.1) | 141.8 (+14.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -3.8 (-10.2) | 142.9 (+13.1) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -4.6 (-9.4) | 142.9 (+13.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -4.2 (-9.8) | 142.0 (+14.0) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | DUQ 67 – 61 URI |
| Mar 5, 2026 | URI 64 – 52 DUQ |
| Feb 1, 2026 | DUQ 76 – 61 URI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 55 URI |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DUQ 72 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 9-8 | 13-4 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#199) | 4.7 (#105) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#169) | 1.01 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#166) | 1.25 (#97) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#143) | 0.573 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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