Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -400 URI +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -10.6 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-4.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -8.1 (+2.9) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -6.3 (+4.7) | 138.0 (-5.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -9.0 (+2.0) | 139.6 (-6.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -7.6 (+3.4) | 141.1 (-8.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | DUQ 67 – 61 URI |
| Mar 5, 2026 | URI 64 – 52 DUQ |
| Feb 1, 2026 | DUQ 76 – 61 URI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 55 URI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DUQ 85 – 71 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 16-4 | 7-9 |
| Away | 3-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 70.6 |
| Massey | 1.7 (#140) | -4.2 (#252) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#111) | -1.36 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#128) | -1.42 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#118) | 0.445 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 36.8% | 35.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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