Betting Lines
| Spread | URI -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | URI -142 DUQ +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +12 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | URI -2.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-32.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -2.2 (+9.8) | 139.8 (-23.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -3.3 (+8.7) | 141.0 (-25.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -2.3 (+9.7) | 141.6 (-25.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -2.0 (+10.0) | 139.9 (-23.9) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | DUQ 67 – 61 URI |
| Feb 1, 2026 | DUQ 76 – 61 URI |
| Dec 31, 2024 | DUQ 67 – 55 URI |
| Feb 3, 2024 | DUQ 85 – 71 URI |
| Dec 31, 2022 | DUQ 72 – 61 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-6 | 12-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#132) | 2.9 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#153) | 0.33 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#148) | 0.38 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#157) | 0.515 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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