Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -110 UTM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +11 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -2.3 (-13.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+19.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -1.0 (-12.0) | 144.4 (+24.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -1.0 (-12.0) | 143.3 (+25.7) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -1.6 (-12.6) | 142.0 (+27.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -1.0 (-12.0) | 143.1 (+25.9) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UTM 81 – 76 SIUE |
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTM 65 – 59 SIUE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTM 76 – 71 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTM 85 – 82 SIUE |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UTM 81 – 75 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-2 |
| Away | 2-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 77.9 |
| Massey | -4.6 (#254) | -3.4 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#238) | -0.39 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#243) | -0.61 (#226) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#225) | 0.486 (#199) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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