Betting Lines
| Spread | UTM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE +105 UTM -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +5 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | UTM -0.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.4 (+35.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -0.3 (-4.7) | 125.8 (+31.2) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTM -0.3 (-4.7) | 127.6 (+29.4) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTM -0.3 (-4.7) | 121.9 (+35.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -0.2 (-5.2) | 123.4 (+33.6) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | UTM 65 – 59 SIUE |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTM 76 – 71 SIUE |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTM 85 – 82 SIUE |
| Feb 3, 2024 | UTM 90 – 79 SIUE |
| Mar 3, 2023 | UTM 81 – 75 SIUE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#240) | -1.7 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.68 (#233) | 0.00 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#236) | -0.30 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.459 (#252) | 0.509 (#163) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 38.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 45.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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